The dog days are really on us now. Some serious heat enveloped New York yesterday, and we know that some of our readers are in places that are going through unprecedented heat waves. Scotland, for example, had its hottest day in recorded history on Tuesday.
As much as we were tempted to merely take a day off and hope for cooler weather, we were thankful to hear from one of our longtime readers and correspondents, who brought us an item that seemed perfect for this week’s temperatures. So grab a cool drink, crank up the fan, and beat the heat with this summer-fun anecdote. Scientology, it never fails to provide entertainment…
In the mid 1990s – before climate change was real to most people – Jarrett Buys, a Scientologist living in Clearwater, Florida, created a buzz in the Scientology community by predicting, using Hubbard’s method of data analysis, that planet Earth was headed for another Ice Age.
I was an active Scientologist at the time and heard about this from a friend. My friend also arranged for me to attend one of his briefings, which I did in around 1994.
Jarrett had studied the Hubbard Elementary Data Series Evaluator’s Course, which intended to teach Scientologists how to evaluate a pile of data and establish which things were true, false, important, less important, unimportant, etc. Like all Hubbard’s courses, this one included the study of theoretic principles as well as practical application.
If I remember correctly, Jarrett did an “eval” (short for “evaluation”) on the Earth’s environment for the practical requirement of the course – he had to choose a topic that warranted heavy, detailed “evaluation” and chose the Earth’s environment and what was going on in it. He had obtained a huge amount of scientific information and analyzed it according to Hubbard’s rules.
His conclusions, in a nutshell, were that the Earth was headed for another Ice Age and he predicted this would occur within the next 15 years or so (around the year 2010). Even though the issue of global warming was already on general public’s radar screen at the time, Jarrett insisted the scientists were wrong and the real deal was that the Earth was headed for another Ice Age.
Like any good Scientologist, he had sent copies of this “eval” with his findings to International Management, and they responded that this seemed like an important study, and they suggested that Jarrett head up some kind of unit to deal with this.
So Jarrett took his little show on the road and gave talks about this to Scientologists. My friend arranged for me to attend one of his talks on the environment in Los Angeles, which I did – along with a few dozen other Scientologists.
Jarrett spoke for about two to three hours that night; he talked a lot about studying chemtrails over the North Pole and a lot about exploration done in the South Pole to measure depth of ice, to determine how long it had been since the last Ice Age, how often they occur, etc.
Jarrett’s findings at the time boiled down to this: that the soil on planet Earth had demineralized to the point where another Ice Age would hit soon. The purpose of the Ice Age is to remineralize the soil. He said that life would not cease to exist during an Ice Age, but both the north and south parts of the planet would be uninhabitable due to glacier activity – i.e. the ice caps would descend from the North and South Poles to a point much closer to the equator. Most people who were able to would move to the land areas that were relatively close to the equator where the temperature would be warm enough to support life.
I think everyone who attended this briefing assumed his conclusion regarding another Ice Age due to soil demineralization had to be true because it was arrived at using Hubbard’s method of data analysis. I recall that it evoked anxiety or fear in the attendees, because while Jarrett wasn’t exactly predicting the end of the world, it sounded like a huge upheaval of people’s lives bordering on catastrophe – rather like what’s now going on in 2022.
— A Bunker correspondent
We sent an email to Jarrett Buys, asking if he was still predicting an ice age, and we received a lengthy reply from him. He tells us that our correspondent was wrong, that he was not predicting an ice age by the year 2010, but that one is coming, whether “in the the next 30 years or the next 1,000.” And he did acknowledge that he had graduated from the Data Series course twice, and was using it to evaluate data about the planet’s environment.
To simplify, the Data Series teaches you where to look by determining through a list of "out-points" where the "major departure from the ideal scene" is located - the area - so that you can further evaluate that situation and narrow the target, so to speak and come up with the WHY and the WHO (as there is always a WHO that is responsible for the WHY). Of course you have to know what the IDEAL SCENE is so you can determine what would be the major departure from it, in order to start your evaluation.
Back then, in '94 and for a few years more, I did give a number of "briefings" within both the Scientology community, not only in the LA area but in Clearwater and NYC pertaining to the topic of Earth, its climate, the media's obsession with "global warming" and the basics of having a safe foundation per Hubbard's Precept 12-2, in THE WAY TO HAPPINESS book, which I am sure you have read or at least seen.
As for the data he used for his analysis, Jarrett helpfully directed our attention to a chart in a 1993 book which discusses temperature changes on the planet going back 600 million years.
As you will notice from the graph, the mean average temperature of Earth has only been declining for the past 150 million years. In the past 500,000 years that decline has intensified in frequency as well as gotten even colder. The apparent cyclic pattern is represented by approx. 90,000 years of glacial activity, followed by a much briefer and warmer 10,000 year Inter-glacial period, followed by another 90,000 year glacial period, on and on, right up to today where THIS current warming period we are now in - call the HOLOCENE - is coming to an end. I could go into a much longer and lengthy explanation of how I know this but I have not got the time to do this right now. Trust me, we are coming to the end of this Interglacial period - whether it is in the the next 30 years or the next 1000, it is "winding down"; there are indicators.
Last time around - the end of the last Interglacial epoch - it happened in about 20 years - went from a warm Interglacial period (like we are currently in right now) to a glacial period. That's why the the members of the Explorers Club (of NYC), which L. Ron Hubbard was a member, went on an expedition to Greenland (circa: 1953) and uncovered a woolly mammoth in a block of ice, that had fresh flowers in its mouth! Yes, that animal did not have time to even chew that vegetation as it was flash-frozen. There is scientific record of such occurrences many times on this planet; they are called pole-shifts. You should do some reading about this topic.
Ah! We are so glad that Jarrett brought up this particular piece of evidence. We have, in fact, read extensively on the subject of the “fresh flowers” supposedly found in a woolly mammoth that Hubbard found so impressive (he actually cited it as fresh vegetables in a mammoth’s stomach).
In 2018 we looked into this, and found that the great Jason Colavito, one of our favorite destroyers of myths, had thoroughly debunked the story.
“Legend has it that in 1951 the Explorers Club served meat from a frozen mammoth, as you can read in this 2014 Mental Floss article that takes the story at least somewhat seriously. But a new analysis of the preserved remains of that dinner (don’t ask why anyone kept the leftovers for 65 years) determined that the food was actually turtle, which had been passed off not as mammoth but as megatherium, an extinct ground sloth. The Christian Science Monitor misunderstood what a megatherium was in 1951 and reported that the food was mammoth, causing the legend,” Colavito noted.
As for the idea that the mammoth had frozen so quickly it had fresh vegetables in its stomach, Colavito also explains that there’s a long history of crackpots repeating that thoroughly debunked story as well. (Some flower pollen found in a carcass somehow became fresh flowers and then vegetables as the story got retold by various Creationists and other catastrophists.)
For Creationists, these badly mangled stories about flash-frozen mammoths have been used to argue that the Earth is extremely young. Hubbard used the story for a much more entertaining reason: To suggest that the “mammoth” had been instantly freeze-dried because some Operating Thetan had ripped the atmosphere off the planet with a flick of the finger. (Hubbard’s message was that you too could have such godlike powers if you studied his Scientology methods.)
Jarrett says the story of the mammoth is proof of sudden pole shifts, which he warns is really the problem with climate change.
We will give Jarrett the last word, and we thank him for responding to our email. It was such fun to think about that bogus mammoth story again.
Anyway, there are other scientific evidence of these things called Pole Shifts which can be learned about rather easily, if one's head was not constantly being filled with the latest media BS, not substantiated by any science at all........like global warming!
So, my point: Mankind is prone to only look at very short periods of time and make decisions based on what GEOLOGICALLY is a mere blink of time. The why for this is that many people are set on the concept that it's "Miller time" - you know, you only go round once, so go for the gusto! - in other words, they are "one lifers." So it is easy to make decisions that only entail their life or the future lives of their children and possibly their grandchildren - a couple of hundred years at best. "Grab what you can and go for the gusto" as you only have this one chance. Another big falsehood and really quite silly.
As to something to write about? The next glacial epoch, or better referred to by some as "ice age," is still thousands of years away from now, not in your lifetime, your children's, their children's....etc. Unless we have a pole shift! So is this an extinction event for mankind? NO! How do I know that? Look back at the graph on page 27, I referred you to. See where HOMO SAPIEN begins? About 400,000 years ago! There have been three to four ice ages since then, many more pole shifts and God only knows what else. And, here we are still! So mankind made it! We ADAPTED to whatever was going on and are still here as a species on planet Earth. This was also the message at any briefing I ever gave - if those who were there were actually listening. But I am sure you know how that goes sometimes!
UPDATE: Jarrett expressed disappointment that we didn’t cite the source of the chart he drew from for his environmental data. We’re happy to add it: He was referring to a chart on page 27 of Tony McMichael’s 1993 book Planetary Overload. And we’ll do even better and post the image of that chart itself here:
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Jarret is a good sport for answering - well done! As for his answer, God only knows...
Jarrett Buys doesn't quite have the data and experience to predict an ice age. I can see terrible weather coming back after Greenland melts and stops the Atlantic conveyor system. I can see another Younger/Dryas striking and that would be very bad for the Northern hemisphere. Without the Gulf Stream, northern Europe is going to get a lot of snow.
All those greenhouse gases we have been pumping into the atmosphere have delayed or stopped any near term ice age. This interglacial period is going to last a long time unless we stop putting co2 and other gases into the atmosphere.
Jerrett Buys may have goofed up his prediction, but the yoo yoo of the last million years cycle between ice and melt may continue, if all that extra co2 gets turned into sequestered carbon. Anyone in for another Carboniferous period?
Jerrett, thank you for your reply, your data may be off, but you do defend your prediction nicely.